Although the Texans struggled through much of his career with the team, the franchise and fans always knew they could rely on him for stellar numbers. Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) November 4, 2019. These three Pats legends are more likely to land in the Hall of Very Good. Running backs mean less than they have in the past, but Terrell Davis just made the Hall for what really amounted to a three-season stretch as the best running back in football. You can't make the Hall of Fame while you're still in pads, but Mike Evans has been making his case over the past six seasons. He's the second-most productive receiver in football history. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. We're in a pass-happy era, but Thomas has more receptions (470) and receiving yards (5,512) than any other players in league history through their first four seasons. 8/16/2011. Brown was arguably the NFLs best receiver from 2013-18 in Pittsburgh, but wasnt the same player after he left the Steelers. Elroy 'Crazylegs' Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. In the running (40% to 69%): C Jason Kelce, DT Fletcher Cox. His PFR Hall of Fame score of 94.2 ranks ahead of several wide receivers already in the Hall of Fame, including Michael Irvin, Art Monk, Andre Reed and Lynn Swann. If the Falcons had held on to their lead and won the Super Bowl, Ryan would have won game MVP, and his 2016 probably would have been enough for a gold jacket. While the wide receiver logjam is a disaster for Hall of Fame voters, Moss should present a no-brainer case one day as a first-ballot choice. That means Robinson (who is coming off . Panthers impressed by Derek Carr visit Rodgers is a three-time All-Pro, a member of the 2010s All-Decade Team and so much more. If James gets back there this season, he might even be able to jump into the Likely category. Tony Kornheiser and Michael Wilbon both expect Frank Gore to get into the Pro Football Hall of Fame, but do not see him as a lock to get into Canton. Wagner turned 30 in June, and after eight seasons in the league, he has six Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nominations. He was selected No. Skeptics will point out that Rivers was 5-6 in the postseason and only made it as far as one AFC Championship Game, but he's also sixth in NFL history in passing yards and passing touchdowns. He was a Pro Bowler in 2017 and has 37.5 sacks over his first four pro seasons, but he was overshadowed a bit by Campbell over that time frame. While Hunter's chances are probably somewhere in the 65% range, Smith is closer to the lower end of the spectrum in the 40% zone. Gronk has five first-team All-Pro appearances. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. Bell's case as a scheme- and personnel-transcendent back fell apart in an ugly 2019 season, with the former Steelers playmaker averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. Minnesota Vikings Ring of Honor. I'm right there in the 50/50 range. Jimmy Smith's peak was among the best ever. He has a stronger case than you think. NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF I've split players into four groups. Aldon Smith, who was once the most promising young edge rusher in football, would need a miraculous comeback in his first season since 2015 to get back on the HOF radar. The only player in the Hall of Fame primarily for his work as a punter is Ray Guy, and you could make a case that Hekker is on that track. When I last attempted something like this column in June 2016, I gave Beckham a 50% chance of making the Hall of Fame after two dominant seasons as a pro. Every two-time winner got in easily, so while Watt might not have the longevity he hoped for, the Houston icon could retire tomorrow and get in. 260 players who could win MVP This is the big question: How much longer will Evans play and how productive will he be? Harold Carmichael finished his career with 590 receptions and 79 touchdowns. Likely (70% to 99%): QB Matt Ryan, WR Julio Jones. Tickets go on sale on Wednesday, September 1st at: www.radiohalloffame.com. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Carson Wentz, TE Zach Ertz, CB Darius Slay. Complicating things for Johnson is the logjam of candidates at his position. The only eligible player with that sort of rsum who hasn't made it to Canton is Webb, and while Webb was also a left tackle, he didn't make a single Pro Bowl after turning 30. Unlike Gurley, McCaffrey didn't win Offensive Player of the Year or make a deep playoff run. We still have to see what happens with the former LSU star, but of the 24 quarterbacks drafted with the first overall pick since the merger, five are either Hall of Famers or extremely likely to be enshrined. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Joey Bosa, S Derwin James. Work to do (10% to 39%): TE Jimmy Graham, CB Kyle Fuller. Timing can matter for players, and it has been weird for Suh. The induction process, like so many things, is on hold. It's tough to rack up interceptions in the modern NFL, but Peters has 27 since entering the league, nine more than any other player. While Pro Bowls and All-Pro awards are hardly gospel, they're the best measure we have of how league observers valued a particular player in his time. On Saturday night, Eagles star Harold Carmichael and Rams star Isaac Bruce were inducted as part of a . Cooper has made four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons. Future Hall of Fame wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald, though, has a different team in mind for Rodgers. If that seems surprising after what he accomplished last season, remember that it was his first season with either a Pro Bowl or an All-Pro nod. He has three first-team All-Pro nods and a Super Bowl MVP before turning 31. Around the NFL Writer. Charley Taylor. CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Duane Brown. Manning won two Super Bowls with the Giants, winning MVP both times. Gates, a former college basketball player, had one of the greatest careers for an undrafted player, logging 16 seasons with the Chargers. Charley Taylor<br>1964-1975, 1977 . In the running (40% to 69%): WR A.J. McShay's favorite pick for all 32 teams Whitworth was criminally underrated during his time in Cincinnati, earning just one Pro Bowl nod during his first nine seasons with the Bengals. 19 Won't: Maurice Jones-Drew Graham's case is interesting. If he recovers and returns to his 2017-18 form, he still has plenty of time to get back on the Canton track, given that he turned 26 this week. "Nuk" has been a first-team All-Pro in each of his past three seasons, which is the sort of run that earns skill-position players a trip to Canton on their own. Tom Fears, WR, UCLA, 11th round, 103rd overall: Bosa won Defensive Rookie of the Year, which hasn't been quite as big of a boon as you might think. He might not make it on the first ballot, but he should make it eventually. The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. A starter from day one, Jackson was a first-team All-Pro while leading the league in interceptions in 2018. Archive: Every podcast from Barnwell . Gore is the football equivalent of somebody like MLB outfielder Jim Rice as a compiler who plays a position the electorate loves. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR T.Y. Vinatieri is arguably the greatest clutch kicker in NFL history, twice making last-second field goals to win Super Bowls and also making another famous kick in the Tuck Rule game that helped launch New Englands dynasty. There could still be a season in which Mike Zimmer needs to use Barr as an edge rusher and he ends up with 10 sacks, but that's not going to be enough. Buy Seahawks Tickets. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only player with more receiving yards in the playoffs is Jerry Rice. In my Week 10 WR/CB matchups piece, I highlight the upcoming matchup between Evans and Cardinals cornerback Patrick Peterson and say that we might be seeing two Canton-bound players go at each other in a one-on-one heavyweight matchup.. As I mentioned with Prescott, Barkley's Offensive Rookie of the Year nod gets him in this category alone. Here's everything we know, Richardson sets QB mark for vertical, broad jump, QB Young 5-10 1/8, 204 pounds at NFL combine, Sources: Patriots tell QB Hoyer he's being cut, Horns' Robinson: Versatility worthy of early pick, Jones: Not fixated on Cowboys' drought, just '23, Sources: Raiders plan franchise tag for Jacobs, WR Addison to Steelers' Pickett: 'Come get me', Wolverines' Turner wows with 4.26 40 at combine, Everything you need to know about Geno Smith's contract negotiations. Instead, legendary players and coaches like Troy Polamalu and Jimmy Johnson will wait until next year to give their speeches in Canton, Ohio. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. Adam Vinatieri will eventually join Jan Stenerud and Morten Andersen, but those guys averaged 22 seasons in the league. He previously worked as the sports editor at the Corpus Christi Caller-Times. Some players draw more attention after getting traded or signing a big extension, and Buckner did both this offseason. Most importantly: This is my opinion of who is likely to get in given current rsums, not who belongs in. With Anthony Harris hoovering up interceptions and Jamal Adams and Minkah Fitzpatrick emerging, 31-year-old Smith probably needs to earn that nod in the next year or two. Heres the top 10 in NFL and AFL history in receiving yardage through 85 games. Beasley won a sack title. Evans and Godwin might end up hurting each other's chances by preventing the other from getting a 185-target season like the one Michael Thomas enjoyed in 2019. Rent the Hall. Campbell, who turns 34 next month, is probably going to miss out, which is a shame given how good he has been. I think Rivers probably gets in, but it might take a while. He ranks seventh all-time in receiving touchdowns (116), 30th in yards (11,841) and 17th in receptions (955). Kiper's draft grades for every team McCaffrey could turn into LaDainian Tomlinson, but what if he's more like Shaun Alexander, who won league MVP at his peak and never really got serious Hall of Fame consideration? He has the third most sacks through his age-25 season of any player since the league made it an official stat in 1982, trailing only Derrick Thomas and J.J. Watt. He has been one of the five best players at the second-most lucrative position in football over the past five years, and the fact that he was traded for two first-round picks and then delivered a wildly successful season with all of that attention in 2018 helps him. Hill's game still relies on speed, so he could be more susceptible to a career shortened by injuries than most other candidates, but if he gets three more seasons with Mahomes, he's probably in. Gronkowski dominated at his position, played a key role on four Super Bowl winners, was on the all-2010s team and a first time All-Pro on four occasions. Dan Orlovsky denounces the NFL Network's Top 100 players for 2020 for excluding Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Davante Adams, OT David Bakhtiari, LB Za'Darius Smith. Wilson is somewhere in the 90% range. So this is really a list of 15. Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Keenan Allen, G Trai Turner, DE Melvin Ingram III, CB Chris Harris Jr. Turner has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but interior linemen typically need multiple first-team All-Pro nods to draw significant Hall interest. His case is very strong for a first-ballot election. Through Week 9 of the 2019 season, Evans has played 85 career games. We still have no idea how Thomas will perform, but if we look back through history, four of the 32 offensive linemen since 1970 who were drafted with a top-five pick have made it to the Hall of Fame. Tucker is only nine years in, and while he can kick for a long time if he stays healthy, asking anyone in the NFL to do anything for 13 more seasons is risky. And thanks to coach Kelvin Sampson and the assistants he Solomon: DeMeco Ryans the right coach at the right time, 3 pressing questions facing new Astros GM Dana Brown, Jabari Smith Jr. growing up in NBA with an assist from his father, Poor parent behavior is driving high school sports refs away. Julio or Hopkins: Who's the better bet to lead in receiving? The NFL's 2023 Hall of Fame Game will feature the Cleveland Browns and New York Jets, the Hall announced Tuesday. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Adam Thielen, LB Anthony Barr. Landry's hip surgery then looms as a problem; if he can get past it and keep this up, he profiles as a borderline Hall of Famer. I would put Gronkowski's chance somewhere around 99%. In both cases, I'm looking mostly at the historical output for first overall picks. Hes No. A big individual season and a few MVP votes in 2020 would be enough to push him into the next category. Harold Carmichael and Isaac Bruce will enter the Pro Football Hall of Fame in August. In the running (40% to 69%): OT Trent Williams. you might say Moss, Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. From 2000-2003, Randy Moss put up video game numbers: 376 receptions, 5,649 yards and 49 touchdowns. Rockets great and championship coach Rudy Tomjanovich was only inducted in the Basketball Hall of Fame in 2021. David has been supremely underrated during his career, but after earning a first-team All-Pro nod in 2013, he has made it to a lone Pro Bowl over the ensuing six seasons. Likely (70% to 99%): LB Khalil Mack. Allen was named a Pro Bowler after racking up 10.5 sacks as a rookie. The Hall of Fame Game, like the rest of the preseason, has been canceled during the coronavirus pandemic. I think Thomas is a prohibitive favorite to get in. Warren Moon played until he was 44. James Harrison was a backup for four seasons, started regularly for the first time at 29, and probably won't make the Hall of Fame despite a pretty spectacular peak. If he can stay healthy, he's probably going to retire in the top 10 for career passing yardage, but will that really be enough to get him in without more individual awards or team success? With three rushing titles, a 2,000-yard season and an MVP award in his trophy room, Peterson will be a first-ballot Hall of Famer. Hekker's case is interesting. Players the Jaguars could target In the running (40% to 69%): DT Ndamukong Suh. Browns star left tackle Joe Thomas and Jets greats Joe . Watson is one of the best quarterbacks in football, although he might struggle to earn first-team All-Pro nods when stuck in the same time frame as Mahomes. First, its hard for young guys to adapt to the NFL. The former Philadelphia Eagles great and St. Louis Rams star will become the 28th and 29th wide receivers to be honored with a place in Canton, OH. Round 1: Kiper | McShay | NFL Nation Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Picking the top bounce-back candidates for all 32 NFL teams, Football historians talk about the game in a previous pandemic, Ranking the NFL's top 25 prospects: Young players who could break out in 2020, last attempted something like this column in June 2016, 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer, honor his request and trade the 25-year-old, trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009. There are another 11 players who aren't yet Hall-eligible, and five of them are locks to do the same. Mathieu is a great player and just turned 28, so he still has plenty of time, but he probably needs four or five more Pro Bowl seasons or a DPOY victory to really get in the discussion. He repeated that feat in 2019, but he'll need to have Campbell's longevity and continue at this level into his mid-30s to have a viable path to the Hall. AP Photo/Harold Filan. Assessing Browns' FA needs. Smith needs a similar sort of run over the next few years to have a shot. Joe Fortenbaugh isn't picking Odell Beckham Jr. to lead the NFL in receiving yards, but he expects Kevin Stefanski's scheme to improve the wide receiver's numbers in 2020. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. The star inside linebacker made his first Pro Bowl last season, which is incredible given that it was his age-21 season. 4 overall pick will start his career at left tackle after Nate Solder opted out of this season. He also earned two major awards: Defensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Player of the Year the following season. Kelce is difficult to judge because tight ends aren't well represented in the Hall. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only . Itll be interesting to see if his postseason prowess carries him, as it arguably did Lynn Swann in his eventual election. Graham has five Pro Bowls to his name, but I don't think he has done enough to earn a gold jacket. Below them are the players who are In the running (between 40% and 69%), and then the players who have Work to do to get on the Hall of Fame radar, who come in between 10% and 39%. Hunter just needs more individual recognition to raise his chances. Williams made seven consecutive Pro Bowls before sitting out the 2019 season and forcing a trade to the 49ers. If Murray breaks out in Year 2, he'll be on the fast track. JAX | KC | LAC | LAR | LV | MIA | MIN In his final college season, he had a nice 69 receptions for 1,394 yards and 12 touchdowns in 13 games as a redshirt sophomore. He will be a first-ballot Hall of Famer. He claimed a sack title in 2017 and was half a sack behind Shaq Barrett a year ago. No offensive lineman is ever a lock when guys like Faneca still aren't enshrined, but Smith plays the most prominent position on the line for the most popular team in the league. Inductees Nominees Induction Weekend Induction Process Landmark Award Squier-Hall Award Blue Jacket & Class Ring. The second-best trade in Reid's history might have been trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009 for Peters, who has held down left tackle for 10 of the past 11 seasons in Philadelphia and will return to play guard in 2020. Donald clinched his gold jacket when he won his second Defensive Player of the Year award. At the combine, he measured in at 6-foot-5 and 231 pounds and ran an impressive 4.53-second 40-yard dash. After that, we have players who are Likely to get in, who I estimate have between a 70% and 99% chance of earning induction. Likely (70% to 99%): QB Russell Wilson, LB Bobby Wagner. Casey has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but the Titans were willing to cut him this offseason before trading him for a seventh-round pick, which also seems telling about where they saw his future. The only exceptions are a pair of interior offensive linemen (Alan Faneca and Steve Wisniewski) and safety John Lynch. The Hall is forgiving of running backs, and Bell's versatility should age well, but he has missed a lot of time through injuries, suspensions and his 2018 holdout. I mentioned the math for quarterbacks in the Bengals section; in Garrett's case, four of 26 non-QBs taken with the first overall pick since the merger have made it to the Hall. He led that sports section to three Associated Press Sports Editors top-10 national awards and his work has been honored by APSE and the Texas Associated Press Managing Editors. I believe Evans will be in the NFL Hall of Fame someday, and in this piece I hit on a few of the reasons for my position. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? In the running (40% to 69%): S Eddie Jackson. ln the running (40% to 69%): RB Alvin Kamara, DE Cameron Jordan, CB Marshon Lattimore. He has been phenomenal while winning one Super Bowl, and came within an interception of winning a second, but he has also never been considered the best quarterback in football or garnered a single MVP vote. Kittle is the best all-around tight end in football right now, and if you could tell me this minute that he would have a 12-year career, I'd expect him to be a Hall of Famer. On Tuesday, future NFL Hall of Fame wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald spoke with the team. All rights reserved. NFL Nation: Analysis for every pick Hilton, DE Justin Houston, DT DeForest Buckner, CB Xavier Rhodes. Quarterbacks like Ken Anderson, Boomer Esiason and Steve McNair won league MVP without earning enshrinement. Work to do (10% to 39%): DE DeMarcus Lawrence, DT Gerald McCoy, LB Leighton Vander Esch. Contemporaries Torry Holt and Reggie Wayne also made the finalists cut from 15 to 10 with Johnson, but likewise didnt gain election. Jarrett made his first Pro Bowl last season, but his disruptiveness hasn't yet led to a gaudy sack total, which is what you need to get in as a defensive lineman. Cliff Branch and Herman Moore are two of the few exceptions, but their performance fell off significantly after their third All-Pro trip and never recovered to their prior level. The suspension hurts Peterson's chances, but with eight Pro Bowls and three All-Pro appearances across his first eight seasons, his prior track record was impeccable. Like Campbell, Heyward didn't earn widespread notoriety until he was approaching 30, with the Steelers star becoming a first-team All-Pro and Pro Bowler for the first time in his seventh season. In Week 9, he led the league with 180 yards receiving, and for the year, hes No. He deserves it. I think the PED suspensions could help keep out players like Edelman and Lane Johnson, but it's tough to imagine Peterson not making it. I think he'll end up getting in because he has simply racked up numbers year after year without missing much time, although I could also see an argument that he hasn't done enough outside of that one brilliant year. Just six of 32 Hall-eligible winners made it to Canton, although that's going to rise in the years to come as the likes of Charles Woodson and Julius Peppers win enshrinement. Lock (100%): QB Drew Brees. All seven players who did that and who are eligible for the Hall are in, and the list of ineligible guys includes Hill, Patrick Willis, Joe Thomas, Adrian Peterson, Patrick Peterson, Zack Martin and Aaron Donald. He could roll off a string of these nods in the years to come. He has eight Pro Bowl appearances, but he has never been a first-team All-Pro, never really been a viable pick as the best quarterback in football and has a total of four MVP votes across 14 seasons as a starter. Of the 16 Hall-eligible first-rounders who were first-team All-Pros as rookies, nine are enshrined. Since 1950, 12 players have won two or more rushing titles. He probably needs to keep that streak going for a couple more years or rack up another 15-sack campaign to move the needle to Likely. If McCaffrey can piece together even two more seasons at his 2019 level and add two or three more like his 2018 campaign, that might be enough to make it to the Hall of Fame. Worthy Hall of Fame (HOF) NFL Wide Receivers: The shoo-ins Let's start by running through five obvious cases of overly-qualified receivers who have not yet been enshrined.
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